Tesla 2024 Q3 Quarterly investors results
Tesla 2024 Q3 Quarterly investors results
Tesla 2024 Q3 Quarterly investors results
@financepresentations1 month ago
1
Q3 2024 Update
- + growth in vehicle deliveries
- + growth in Energy Generation and Storage and Services and Other
- + higher FSD revenue recognition YoY for releases related to Cybertruck and certain features such as Actually Smart Summon
- + higher regulatory credit revenue
- - reduced S3XY vehicle average selling price (ASP) (excl. FX impact), due to mix, pricing and attractive financing options
- + lower cost per vehicle, including lower raw material costs, freight and duties and other one-time charges
- + growth in Energy Generation and Storage and Services and Other gross profit
- + higher FSD revenue recognition YoY for releases related to Cybertruck and certain features such as Actually Smart Summon + growth in vehicle deliveries
- + higher regulatory credit revenue
- + decrease in operating expenses including cost-reduction efforts
- - reduced S3XY vehicle ASP
- Cash We have sufficient liquidity to fund our product roadmap, long-term capacity expansion plans and other expenses. Furthermore, we will manage the business such that we maintain a strong balance sheet during this uncertain period.
- Profit While we continue to execute on innovations to reduce the cost of manufacturing and operations, over time, we expect our
2
H I G H L I G H T S
Profitability
$2.7B GAAP operating income in Q3
$2.2B GAAP net income in Q3
$2.5B non-GAAP net income 1 in Q3
Cash
Operating cash flow of $6.3B in Q3
Free cash flow 2 of $2.7B in Q3
$2.9B increase in our cash and investments 3 in Q3 to $33.6B
Operations
Increased AI training compute by over 75% in Q3
Cybertruck became the third best-selling EV in Q3 in the U.S. (behind only Model Y and Model 3)
Over two billion miles driven cumulatively on FSD (Supervised) 4 as of Q3 with more than 50% on V12
S U M M A R Y
We delivered strong results in Q3 with growth in vehicle deliveries both sequentially and year-on-year, resulting in record third-quarter volumes. We also recognized our secondhighest quarter of regulatory credit revenues as other OEMs are still behind on meeting emissions requirements.
Our cost of goods sold (COGS) per vehicle 5 came down to its lowest level ever at ~$35,100. In order to continue accelerating the world's transition to sustainable energy, we need to make EVs affordable for everyone, including making total cost of ownership per mile competitive with all forms of transportation. Preparations remain underway for our offering of new vehicles - including more affordable models - which we will begin launching in the first half of 2025. At our "We, Robot" event on October 10, we detailed our long-term goal of offering autonomous transport with a cost per mile below rideshare, personal car ownership and even public transit.
The Energy business achieved another strong quarter with a record gross margin. Additionally, the Megafactory in Lathrop produced 200 Megapacks in a week, and Powerwall deployments reached a record for the second quarter in a row as we continue to ramp Powerwall 3.
Despite sustained macroeconomic headwinds and others pulling back on EV investments, we remain focused on expanding our vehicle and energy product lineup, reducing costs and making critical investments in AI projects and production capacity. We believe these efforts will allow us to capitalize on the ongoing transition in the transportation and energy sectors.
F I N A N C I A L S U M M A R Y
(Unaudited)
F I N A N C I A L S U M M A R Y
Revenue
Total revenue increased 8% YoY in Q3 to $25.2B. YoY, revenue was impacted by the following items:
Profitability
Cash
Our operating income increased YoY to $2.7B in Q3, resulting in a 10.8% operating margin. YoY, operating income was primarily impacted by the following items:
Quarter-end cash, cash equivalents and investments in Q3 was $33.6B. The sequential increase of $2.9B was primarily the result of positive free cash flow of $2.7B.
O P E R A T I O N A L S U M M A R Y
(Unaudited)
V E H I C L E C A P A C I T Y
Production and delivery volumes both returned to year-on-year growth in Q3. We also produced our 7-millionth vehicle October 22 nd . We continued to add to our vehicle lineup by expanding the options for new vehicle trims and paint for Model 3 and Model Y.
US: California, Nevada and Texas
Refreshed Model 3 ramp continued successfully in Q3 with higher total production and lower cost of goods sold quarter-over-quarter. Cybertruck production increased sequentially and achieved a positive gross margin for the first time. Preparation of the Semi factory continues and remains on track with builds scheduled to start by the end of 2025.
China: Shanghai
The Shanghai factory recently achieved two notable milestones: producing its 3-millionth vehicle in October and exporting its 1-millionth vehicle in September. Costs of goods sold per vehicle at the Shanghai factory improved sequentially to its lowest level ever.
Europe: Berlin-Brandenburg
Costs of goods sold per vehicle improved sequentially at Gigafactory Berlin-Brandenburg. As of Q3, Model Y is the most sold vehicle of any type in 2024 in Sweden, Netherlands, Denmark and Switzerland, and was the best-selling vehicle in Europe in the month of September. Additionally, in Q3, Model Y became the best-selling EV (new vehicle sales) of all time in Norway, which now has over 60,000 units on the road.
Current Installed Annual Vehicle Capacity
Installed capacity â current production rate and there may be limitations discovered as production rates approach capacity. Production rates depend on a variety of factors, including equipment uptime, component supply, downtime related to factory upgrades, regulatory considerations and other factors.
Source: Tesla estimates based on latest available data from ACEA; Autonews.com; CAAM - light-duty vehicles only; TTM = Trailing twelve months
C O R E T E C H N O L O G Y
Artificial Intelligence Software and Hardware
In Q3, we released the 12.5 series of FSD (Supervised) 1 with improved safety and comfort thanks to increased data and training compute, a 5x increase in parameter count, and other architectural choices that we plan to continue scaling in Q4. We released Actually Smart Summon, which enables your vehicle to autonomously drive to you in parking lots, and FSD (Supervised) to Cybertruck customers, including end-to-end neural nets for highway driving for the first time. We deployed and are training ahead of schedule on a 29k H100 cluster at Gigafactory Texas - where we expect to have 50k H100 capacity by the end of October.
Vehicle and Other Software
Our Summer Release included YouTube and Amazon Music as native apps. Parents can now enable Parental Controls via PIN to apply maximum speed limit, reduce acceleration to Chill, force-enable safety settings and enable curfew notifications. Other new features include Hands-Free Frunk, revamped climate controls for Model 3 and Model Y, weather forecast, air quality and improvements to in-vehicle navigation.
Battery, Powertrain and Manufacturing
In October, we unveiled our Cybercab and Robovan vehicles, both designed from the ground up for autonomy - without a steering wheel or pedals. Cybercab will be built on our next-generation platform which includes a new powertrain with an estimated 5.5 mi/kWh. This will be our most efficient powertrain yet. In Q3, we produced our 100-millionth 4680 cell and continued to progress our dry-cathode manufacturing lines.
O T H E R H I G H L I G H T S
Our Energy and Services and Other businesses are becoming increasingly profitable parts of Tesla. As energy storage products continue to ramp and our vehicle fleet continues to grow, we are expecting continued profit growth from these businesses over time.
Energy Generation and Storage
The Energy business achieved a record gross margin of 30.5% in Q3, a sequential increase of 596 bps, despite lower Megapack volumes. Powerwall achieved record deployments in Q3 for the second quarter in a row. Ramp of Powerwall 3 and the Lathrop Megafactory continued successfully - with Lathrop demonstrating 200 Megapack production (40 GWh annual run rate) in a single week. As of Q3, over 100,000 Powerwalls were enrolled in Virtual Power Plant programs, delivering additional financial value to owners while providing muchneeded support to the grid during periods of stress. The Shanghai Megafactory remains on track to begin shipping Megapacks in Q1 2025.
Services and Other
The Services and Other business achieved a record gross profit in Q3, growing over 90% year-on-year. Sequential growth in gross profit was driven mostly by higher gross profit generation from supercharging, service center margin improvement and higher gross profit generation from Parts Sales and Merchandise. Our Supercharger network continued to expand in Q3 with over 2,800 new stalls in the quarter, a 22% growth of the network YoY.
10
O U T L O O K
Volume
Our company is currently between two major growth waves: the first one began with the global expansion of the Model 3/Y platform and we believe the next one will be initiated by advances in autonomy and introduction of new products, including those built on our next generation vehicle platform. Despite ongoing macroeconomic conditions, we expect to achieve slight growth in vehicle deliveries in 2024. Energy storage deployments are expected to more than double year-over-year in 2024.
hardware-related profits to be accompanied by an acceleration of AI, software and fleet-based profits.
Product
Plans for new vehicles, including more affordable models, remain on track for start of production in the first half of 2025. These vehicles will utilize aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.
This approach will result in achieving less cost reduction than previously expected but enables us to prudently grow our vehicle volumes in a more capex efficient manner during uncertain times. This should help us fully utilize our current expected maximum capacity of close to three million vehicles, enabling more than 50% growth over 2023 production before investing in new manufacturing lines.
Our purpose-built Robotaxi product will continue to pursue a revolutionary 'unboxed' manufacturing strategy.
Global BEV market share* (12-months trailing)
A U T O N O M Y W I L L F U R T H E R A C C E L E R A T E O U R M I S S I O N
Estimated Lifecycle Emissions of Gas Cars versus Robotaxi (gCO 2 e/mi)
Gas Cars
Robotaxi
C Y B E R C A B T W O - S E A T E R V E H I C L E D E S I G N E D F O R A U T O N O M Y
C Y B E R C A B S P A C I O U S I N T E R I O R A N D E X T R A L A R G E T R U N K
R O B O V A N S P A C E F O R U P T O 2 0 & D E S I G N E D F O R A U T O N O M Y
R O B O T A X I C H A R G I N G W I R E L E S S C H A R G I N G R E M O V E S N E E D F O R A H U M A N
O P T I M U S H A N D L A T E S T G E N E R A T I O N W I T H 2 X D E G R E E S O F F R E E D O M
F R E M O N T F A C T O R Y P R O D U C E D T E S L A ' S 7 - M I L L I O N T H V E H I C L E
P O W E R W A L L 3 A V A I L A B L E N O W
S E M I F A C T O R Y C O N S T R U C T I O N C O N T I N U E S T O P R O G R E S S
K E Y M E T R I C S Q U A R T E R L Y (Unaudited)
K E Y M E T R I C S T R A I L I N G 1 2 M O N T H S ( T T M ) (Unaudited)
F I N A N C I A L S T A T E M E N T S
S T A T E M E N T O F O P E R A T I O N S
(Unaudited)
B A L A N C E S H E E T
(Unaudited)
S T A T E M E N T O F C A S H F L O W S
(Unaudited)
R E C O N C I L I A T I O N O F G A A P T O N O N - G A A P F I N A N C I A L I N F O R M A T I O N
(Unaudited)
R E C O N C I L I A T I O N O F G A A P T O N O N - G A A P F I N A N C I A L I N F O R M A T I O N
(Unaudited)
In millions of USD
4Q-2021 1Q-2022 2Q-2022 3Q-2022 4Q-2022 1Q-2023 2Q-2023 3Q-2023 4Q-2023 1Q-2024 2Q-2024 3Q-2024
Net cash provided by operating activities - TTM (GAAP)
11,497
13,851
14,078
16,031
14,724
13,242
13,956
12,164
13,256
10,985
11,532
14,479
Capital expenditures - TTM
(6,482)
(6,901)
(7,126)
(7,110)
(7,158)
(7,463)
(7,793)
(8,450)
(8,898)
(9,599)
(9,809)
(10,862)
Free cash flow - TTM (non-GAAP)
5,015
6,950
6,952
8,921
7,566
5,779
6,163
3,714
4,358
1,386
1,723
3,617
In millions of USD
4Q-2021 1Q-2022 2Q-2022 3Q-2022 4Q-2022 1Q-2023 2Q-2023 3Q-2023 4Q-2023 1Q-2024 2Q-2024 3Q-2024
Net income attributable to common stockholders - TTM (GAAP)
5,519
8,399
9,516
11,190
12,556
11,751
12,195
10,756
14,997
13,613
12,388
12,702
Interest expense - TTM
371
333
302
229
191
159
143
128
156
203
261
315
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes - TTM
699
976
1,066
1,148
1,132
1,047
1,165
1,027
(5,001)
(4,853)
(4,783)
(4,349)
Depreciation, amortization and impairment - TTM
2,911
3,170
3,411
3,606
3,747
3,913
4,145
4,424
4,667
4,867
4,991
5,104
Stock-based compensation expense - TTM
2,121
1,925
1,812
1,699
1,560
1,560
1,644
1,747
1,812
1,918
1,912
1,904
Adjusted EBITDA - TTM (non-GAAP)
11,621
14,803
16,107
17,872
19,186
18,430
19,292
18,082
16,631
15,748
14,769
15,676
A D D I T I O N A L I N F O R M A T I O N
WEBCAST INFORMATION
Tesla will provide a live webcast of its third quarter 2024 financial results conference call beginning at 4:30 p.m. CT on October 23, 2024 at ir.tesla.com. This webcast will also be available for replay for approximately one year thereafter.
CERTAIN TERMS
When used in this update, certain terms have the following meanings. Our vehicle deliveries include only vehicles that have been transferred to end customers with all paperwork correctly completed. Our energy product deployment volume includes both customer units when installed and equipment sales at time of delivery. "Adjusted EBITDA" is equal to (i) net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders before (ii)(a) interest expense, (b) provision for income taxes, (c) depreciation, amortization and impairment and (d) stock-based compensation expense. "Free cash flow" is operating cash flow less capital expenditures. Average cost per vehicle is cost of automotive sales divided by new vehicle deliveries (excluding operating leases). 'Days sales outstanding' is equal to (i) average accounts receivable, net for the period divided by (ii) total revenues and multiplied by (iii) the number of days in the period. 'Days payable outstanding' is equal to (i) average accounts payable for the period divided by (ii) total cost of revenues and multiplied by (iii) the number of days in the period. 'Days of supply' is calculated by dividing new car ending inventory by the relevant quarter's deliveries and using 75 trading days. Constant currency impacts are calculated by comparing actuals against current results converted into USD using average exchange rates from the prior period.
NON-GAAP FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Consolidated financial information has been presented in accordance with GAAP as well as on a non-GAAP basis to supplement our consolidated financial results. Our non-GAAP financial measures include non-GAAP net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, non-GAAP net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders on a diluted per share basis (calculated using weighted average shares for GAAP diluted net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders), Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA margin and free cash flow. These non-GAAP financial measures also facilitate management's internal comparisons to Tesla's historical performance as well as comparisons to the operating results of other companies. Management believes that it is useful to supplement its GAAP financial statements with this non-GAAP information because management uses such information internally for its operating, budgeting and financial planning purposes. Management also believes that presentation of the non-GAAP financial measures provides useful information to our investors regarding our financial condition and results of operations, so that investors can see through the eyes of Tesla management regarding important financial metrics that Tesla uses to run the business and allowing investors to better understand Tesla's performance. Non-GAAP information is not prepared under a comprehensive set of accounting rules and therefore, should only be read in conjunction with financial information reported under U.S. GAAP when understanding Tesla's operating performance. A reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP financial information is provided above.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Certain statements in this update, including, but not limited to, statements in the 'Outlook' section; statements relating to the development, strategy, ramp, production and capacity, demand and market growth, cost, pricing and profitability, investment, deliveries, deployment, availability and other features and improvements and timing of existing and future Tesla products and services; statements regarding operating margin, operating profits, spending and liquidity; and statements regarding expansion, improvements and/or ramp and related timing at our factories are 'forward-looking statements' within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and management's current expectations, involve certain risks and uncertainties, and are not guarantees. Future results may differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement. The following important factors, without limitation, could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements: the risk of delays in launching and/or manufacturing our products, services and features cost-effectively; our ability to build and/or grow our products and services, sales, delivery, installation, servicing and charging capabilities and effectively manage this growth; our ability to successfully and timely develop, introduce and scale, as well as our consumers' demand for, products and services based on artificial intelligence, robotics and automation, electric vehicles, Autopilot and FSD (Supervised) features, and ride-hailing services generally and our vehicles and services specifically; the ability of suppliers to deliver components according to schedules, prices, quality and volumes acceptable to us, and our ability to manage such components effectively; any issues with lithium-ion cells or other components manufactured at our factories; our ability to ramp our factories in accordance with our plans; our ability to procure supply of battery cells, including through our own manufacturing; risks relating to international expansion; any failures by Tesla products to perform as expected or if product recalls occur; the risk of product liability claims; competition in the automotive, transportation and energy product and services markets; our ability to maintain public credibility and confidence in our longterm business prospects; our ability to manage risks relating to our various product financing programs; the status of government and economic incentives for electric vehicles and energy products; our ability to attract, hire and retain key employees and qualified personnel; our ability to maintain the security of our information and production and product systems; our compliance with various regulations and laws applicable to our operations and products, which may evolve from time to time; risks relating to our indebtedness and financing strategies; and adverse foreign exchange movements. More information on potential factors that could affect our financial results is included from time to time in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings and reports, including the risks identified under the section captioned 'Risk Factors' in our annual report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on January 26, 2024 and subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. Tesla disclaims any obligation to update information contained in these forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.