Evaluating New Age Startups: Profitability Vs Growth

Evaluating New Age Startups: Profitability Vs Growth

@amitranjan
@amitranjan
40 Followers
5 months ago 473
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Key Insights
  • Startups prioritize growth, but venture capital investors expect large returns, which requires rapid user growth and pricing power.
  • Growth versus profits is a constant balancing act, depending on the business type (e.g., Ecommerce vs. SaaS).
  • The Startup Glide Path framework guides the balance between growth and profitability across different stages (Early, Mid, Late).
  • Early-stage startups focus on PMF and growth over profits, while late-stage companies prioritize profitability and established revenue lines.
  • The Indian Tech Startup IPOs of Q1'22 saw a crash, raising questions about the growth versus profitability equation, but the problem is valuation.
#powerlaw #growth #startups #VentureCapital #TechStartups #startupeconomics #BusinessModels #profitability #funding #valuations #growthhacking
Evaluating New Age Startups: 
Profitability Vs Growth
1/13
Startups = Growth 
“A startup is a company designed to grow fast”
Paul Graham - YCombinator
2/13
Startups are Risky: Most Die, Few 
Change the World
• Traditional finance (debt) ruled out 
• En…
3/13
Venture Capital Model – Power Law
Fund Life ~ 7 yrs | 1/10 Success Probability | Large Outcomes (1…
4/13
Large Outcomes (100X) Imply
• Large TAM 
• Rapidly shifting user behavior – new habits, repeat us…
5/13
Growth v/s Profits is a Constant Balancing Act
Depends also on business types – Ecommerce v/s Mark…
6/13
The Startup Glide Path Framework
7/13
Early Stage 
 (Seed – Series A)
• Focus on PMF
• Cash Burn funds Growth
• Early Monetization 
…
8/13
Indian Tech Startup IPOs Q1’22 Crash??
Is the Growth v/s Profitability equation to blame?
9/13
Experiential / Platforms 
 
• Defensible competitive advantage
• Less competitive, no offline eq…
10/13
Problem is Valuation, Not Growth vs Profits
• Post 2008 QE, Easy liquidity -> Hot Money into Asset…
11/13
Credits
• http://www.paulgraham.com/growth.html
• https://www.nfx.com/post/new-rules-growth-profi…
12/13
https://twitter.com/amitranjan
https://twitter.com/amitranjan
Thank You...
https://webyantra.com…
13/13

Evaluating New Age Startups: Profitability Vs Growth

  • 1. Evaluating New Age Startups: Profitability Vs Growth
  • 2. Startups = Growth “A startup is a company designed to grow fast” Paul Graham - YCombinator
  • 3. Startups are Risky: Most Die, Few Change the World • Traditional finance (debt) ruled out • Enter Venture capital 3
  • 4. Venture Capital Model – Power Law Fund Life ~ 7 yrs | 1/10 Success Probability | Large Outcomes (100X) 4 Returns don’t follow Normal Distribution, Skewed towards Outliers stocks, human life expectancy, avg height venture capital, music sales, video games
  • 5. Large Outcomes (100X) Imply • Large TAM • Rapidly shifting user behavior – new habits, repeat usage • Fast growth / distribution • Command pricing power 5
  • 6. Growth v/s Profits is a Constant Balancing Act Depends also on business types – Ecommerce v/s Marketplaces v/s Social Networks v/s SAAS v/s CoreTech
  • 7. The Startup Glide Path Framework
  • 8. Early Stage (Seed – Series A) • Focus on PMF • Cash Burn funds Growth • Early Monetization Experiments • Growth over Profits! Mid Stage (Series B – Series D) Late Stage (Series E – IPO) • Achieve Networks Effects • Revenue Lines Emerge • LTV > CAC • +ve Unit Economics • EBITDA +ve • Stable Product • Established Revenue Lines • Profitable, Generating Cash • Financial Budgets & Forecasting
  • 9. Indian Tech Startup IPOs Q1’22 Crash?? Is the Growth v/s Profitability equation to blame?
  • 10. Experiential / Platforms • Defensible competitive advantage • Less competitive, no offline equivalent • High Gross Margin • SAAS, Social Networks, CoreTech Transactional • Digital equivalent of offline process • Competes with offline, omnichannel • Low competitive advantage • Low Gross Margin, No/low pricing power • Ecommerce, Marketplaces, Payments Startups Business Models – Diff Types
  • 11. Problem is Valuation, Not Growth vs Profits • Post 2008 QE, Easy liquidity -> Hot Money into Assets • Mismatch b/w Public vs Private Market Valuations • Few IPOs look premature, ahead of time • Markets will resolve this eventually, correction is due 11
  • 12. Credits • http://www.paulgraham.com/growth.html • https://www.nfx.com/post/new-rules-growth-profitability/ • https://fabricegrinda.com/playing-with-unicorns-episode-3-how-vcs-evaluate-startups/ • https://tradebrains.in/upcoming-ipos-indian-startups-2021/ • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cvaDvnp2USA • https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/ipo-listings-see-rs-2-lakh-crore-erosion-techstartups-account-for-half/articleshow/89103838.cms 12
  • 13. https://twitter.com/amitranjan https://twitter.com/amitranjan Thank You... https://webyantra.com https://webyantra.com


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