July 2024 - TE Trade Mechanics Vehicle Occupancy Arbitrage.pdf

July 2024 - TE Trade Mechanics Vehicle Occupancy Arbitrage.pdf

@TEXXI
@TEXXI
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1 week ago 64

July 2024 - TE Trade Mechanics Vehicle Occupancy Arbitrage.pdf

@TEXXI1 week ago

Negative Congestion Charging via 
Vehicle Occupancy ‘Arbitrage’
A tradable approach for real worl…
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We call this Vehicle Occupancy Arbitrage because a market participant can “buy low and sell 
high”…
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A Tradable Relative Value Approach
• Most cars are used only 1 hour per day and for 90% of trips u…
3/13
Double Occupancy, Half Price: Trade Mechanics
Searching for cases where the total number of trips …
4/13
Two decision variables:
Do we choose high cost, relatively high 
frequency O-D Pairs or ultra-hig…
5/13
6/13
Migration Analysis and Summary
The data was collated for trips taken from January 2014 – December …
7/13
Data Treatment
We have had to create certain procedures and patterns to analyse and model the data…
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Negative Congestion Charge Example
If a council / municipal government levies a congestion charge …
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Scenario 1.1
Occupancy >2.0, 30% price, medium distances, max wait time: 600 seconds
Scenario 1.2…
10/13
The Alchemy of Making Road Pricing into something Desirable
Q: At the core there is a booking syst…
11/13
then operate their vehicles, whose utility and profitability is determined by selling seats to peop…
12/13
Contact Information
Occupancy Arbitrage & Trip Insurance Strategy
Eric Masaba +44 20-7993-2324 / …
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