Tesla investor Day 2023 Keynote presentation
Tesla investor Day 2023 Keynote presentation
Tesla investor Day 2023 Keynote presentation
@financepresentations1 month ago
ENAEES
Certain statements in this presentation, including, but not limited to, statements relating to the future development, ramp, production capacity and output rates, supply chain, demand and market growth, cost, pricing and profitability, deliveries, deployment, availability and other features and improvements and timing of existing and future Tesla products and technologies such as Model 3, Model Y, Model X, Model S, Cybertruck, Tesla Semi, Robotaxi, our next generation vehicle platform, our Autopilot, Full Self-Driving and other vehicle software and our energy storage and solar products; statements regarding operating margin, operating profits, spending and liquidity; and statements regarding expansion, improvements and/or ramp and related timing at existing or new factories are 'forward-looking statements' that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements are based on management's current expectations, and as a result of certain risks and uncertainties, actual results may differ materially from those projected. The following important factors, without limitation, could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements: uncertainties in future macroeconomic and regulatory conditions arising from the current global pandemic; the risk of delays in launching and manufacturing our products and features cost-effectively; our ability to grow our sales, delivery, installation, servicing and charging capabilities and effectively manage this growth; consumers' demand for electric vehicles generally and our vehicles specifically; the ability of suppliers to deliver components according to schedules, prices, quality and volumes acceptable to us, and our ability to manage such components effectively; any issues with lithium-ion cells or other components manufactured at Gigafactory Nevada and Gigafactory Shanghai; our ability to ramp Gigafactory Shanghai, Gigafactory Berlin-Brandenburg, Gigafactory Texas and new factories in accordance with our plans; our ability to procure supply of battery cells, including through our own manufacturing; risks relating to international expansion; any failures by Tesla products to perform as expected or if product recalls occur; the risk of product liability claims; competition in the automotive and energy product markets; our ability to maintain public credibility and confidence in our long-term business prospects; our ability to manage risks relating to our various product financing programs; the status of government and economic incentives for electric vehicles and energy products; our ability to attract, hire and retain key employees and qualified personnel and ramp our installation teams; our ability to maintain the security of our information and production and product systems; our compliance with various regulations and laws applicable to our operations and products, which may evolve from time to time; risks relating to our indebtedness and financing strategies; and adverse foreign exchange movements. More information on potential factors that could affect our financial results is included from time to time in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings and reports, including the risks identified under the section captioned 'Risk Factors' in our annual report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on January 31, 2023. Tesla disclaims any obligation to update information contained in these forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
ENAEES
Master Plan 3
Sustainable Energy For All of Earth 3
Current State
SUSTAINABLE
FOSSIL FUELS
Over 80% of Global Energy Comes From Fossil Fuels
Only 1/3 of Global Energy Delivers Useful Work or Heat
Our Energy Economy Is Dirty & Wasteful
Primary Energy
165 PWh/yr Consumption
But there's a better way
A Sustainable Energy Economy Is Within Reach & We Should Accelerate It
Primary Energy
Consumption
165
PWh/yr
Current State
FOSSIL FUELS
Sustainable
Energy Economy
SUSTAINABLE
SUSTAINABLE SOURCES
82 PWh/yr
End Use Efficiency
A Sustainable Energy Economy Is Within Reach & We Should Accelerate It
HOW THE MASTER PLAN WORKS
The Plan To Eliminate Fossil Fuels
35 %
Reduction In Fossil Fuel Use
24 TWh
Stationary Storage
10 TW
Solar + Wind
$0.8 T
Manufacturing Investment
1. Repower the Existing Grid With Renewables
21 %
Reduction In
Fossil Fuel Use
$7.0 T
Manufacturing Investment Needs
115 TWh
Vehicle Batteries & Stationary Storage
4 TW
Solar + Wind
2. Switch to Electric Vehicles
2. Switch to Electric Vehicles
21 %
115 TWh
Vehicle Batteries & Stationary Storage
4 TW
Solar + Wind
$7.0 T
Manufacturing Investment
21 %
Reduction In
Fossil Fuel Use
Tesla Model 3
Toyota Corolla
EVs Use Energy Far More Efficiently
4x
More Efficient Oil Well to Wheel
22 %
Reduction In Fossil Fuel Use
6 TWh
Stationary Storage
5 TW
Solar + Wind
$0.3 T
Manufacturing Investment
3. Switch To Heat Pumps in Homes, Businesses & Industry
22 %
Reduction In Fossil Fuel Use
Heat Pumps Move Heat, They Don't Create It
1.4
17 %
Reduction In Fossil Fuel Use
$0.8 T
Manufacturing Investment
48 TWh
Stationary Storage
6 TW
Solar + Wind
4. Electrify High Temp Heat Delivery & Hydrogen
17 %
Reduction In Fossil Fuel Use
48 TWh
Stationary Storage
6 TW
Solar + Wind
$1.0 T
Manufacturing Investment
4. Electrify High Temp Heat Delivery & Hydrogen
5 %
Reduction In Fossil Fuel Use
44 TWh
Vehicle Batteries & Stationary Storage
4 TW
Solar + Wind
$0.8 T
Manufacturing Investment
5. Sustainably Fuel Planes & Boats
Stacking Up the Investments in Our Sustainable Future
It's Entirely Feasible
If We Grow our Production Capacity as Shown by 2030 We Can Be 100% Sustainable by 2050
A Sustainable Energy Economy Is 60% The Cost of Continuing Fossil Fuel Investments
More Than Enough Renewable Resources Available
More Than Enough Renewable Resources Available
Total Earth Land Area = 32,111,167,147 Acres 12.5% of Land Use for Agriculture = 4B Acres = 2x Contiguous US
A Sustainable Energy Economy Involves Less Mineral Extraction
EACH TRUCK IS 1 GIGATON
A Sustainable Energy Economy Involves Less Mineral Extraction
EACH TRUCK IS 1 GIGATON
The Resources Are There To Support the Transition
Cumulative Demand Until 2050, Relative to 2023 USGS Estimated Resources
And History Teaches: The More We Look, The More We Find
Recycling Will Further Reduce Mineral Demand
A Sustainable Energy Economy Is Within Reach & We Should Accelerate It
HOW THE MASTER PLAN WORKS
01 Vehicle Design
Franz von Holzhausen, Lars Moravy
The Early Days
MODEL S
2012 Model S
1
2
3
1
2
DESIGN
ENGINEERING
MANUFACTURING
AUTOMATION
Model 3 Production Hell
Cybertruck
STEEL EXOSKELETON
Combining the Processes for the Future
1
DESIGN
ENGINEERING
MANUFACTURING
AUTOMATION
Stamp
Body
Paint
Final Assembly
Current Way of Assembling a Vehicle
Current Way of Assembling a Vehicle
G
450_LB
204
V
1
OKNIGHT
SERIES
Structural Pack Sub-Assembly
KG
More People Can Work Simultaneously on Next Generation Vehicle
44 %
Operator Density Improvement
30%
Space Time Efficiency Improvement
Parallel & Serial Assembly
Unboxed Process
Unboxed Process
Next Generation Vehicle Manufacturing Efficiencies
02 Powertrain
Colin Campbell
Faster Than a Porsche, More Efficient Than a Prius
Relentless Focus on Efficiency
Small SUVs (AWD) EPA Range in Miles/kWh
Efficiency Helps Us Scale
MODEL 3 POWERTRAIN FROM 2017-2022
20 %
Lighter Drive Unit
25%
Less Rare Earth Materials
75%
Smaller Powertrain Factory
65%
Cheaper Powertrain Factory
The Key: Holistic Thinking
Custom Microprocessor for High-Power Electronics Custom Designed Packages & Microprocessors for Power Electronics
Powerful In-House Software
KEY SIMULATION TOOLS DEVELOPED BY TESLA
Powerful In-House Software
KEY SIMULATION TOOLS DEVELOPED BY TESLA
Powerful In-House Software
KEY SIMULATION TOOLS DEVELOPED BY TESLA
75 %
Reduction In Silicon Carbide
ANY
Battery Chemistry Accepted
~$1,000
All-In Cost
50%
Reduction In Factory Footprint
Rare Earths Required
MODEL Y
~500g
Rare Earth 1
~10g
Rare Earth 2
~10g
Rare Earth 3
Rare Earths Required
NEXT GENERATION PERMANENT MAGNET MOTOR
0g
Rare Earth 1
0g
Rare Earth 2
0g
Rare Earth 3
Lower Cost & Higher E /ffi ciency Drive Units Using Zero Rare Earths
03 Electronic Architecture
Pete Bannon
Model S 2012
COMPLEX LOW VOLTAGE ARCHITECTURE
Progress So Far
From Model S to Model 3
IMPROVED LOW VOLTAGE ARCHITECTURE
Designed Our Own Controllers, With More To Come
% OF TESLA-DESIGNED CONTROLLERS
Switched From Fuse & Relay to Electronic Fuses
FUSE + RELAYS
Replaced Lead Acid With Lithium Ion Batteries
LEAD-ACID BATTERY
LITHIUM ION BATTERY
4-YEAR REPLACEMENT
LIFETIME
87 %
Mass Reduction
Reduced Costs of Model 3/Y Center Display
What's Next
The Future of Low Voltage Architecture
CYBERTRUCK, OPTIMUS, & FUTURE VEHICLES ALL 48V
Cybertruck
FURTHER IMPROVING LOW VOLTAGE ARCHITECTURE
CYBERTRUCK
Future of Tesla Low Voltage
04 Software
David Lau
Relentless Improvement Via Updates & Data Insights
LEFT HAND IMPACTS
Real World Crash Tests: Fewer Dummies, More Smarts
FRONTAL IMPACTS
Industry standard crash tests
RIGHT HAND IMPACTS
Enabling Plaid-Speed Product Development
123M MILES DRIVEN PER DAY | 1.9M CHARGE SESSIONS EVERY DAY
Total Vehicle Miles, All Platforms
Software That Spans the Entire System
Leveraging Vertical Integration
PREDICTIVE AIR SUSPENSION
Vehicle Software as an Integral Part of the Assembly Line
Moqe
Building the Foundations of Autonomous Fleet Management
TESLA PROFILES | SHARED PHONE KEY | LOGISTICS APP
Software Enables Efficiency, Cost Reduction & Speed
Enabling Robotaxi Fleet
Empowering Manufacturing
Reducing Service at Mass Scale
05 Full Self-Driving
Ashok Elluswamy
Architecture for a Generalized Vision System
Using State-of-the-Art AI for Modeling
Also Solve Complex Planning Problems Using AI
10ms
Joint Planning for Each Configuration
50ms
Desired Planner Execution Time
Automated Labeling by Multi-Trip Reconstruction
1
Automatically Produce Challenging Simulations
Church Street
Data Alone Can Improve Corner Cases
Tesla Fleet
Deploy
Triage Shadow Testing
DATA ENGINE
Mine Fleet
Corrrect Inaccuracy
Train Online Model
Train O /ffl ine Model
Simulation Auto Label Human Label
Evaluation Set
Training Set
14K GPUs
4K For Auto Labeling
10K for Training
30PB DISTRIBUTED VIDEO CACHE
160B Frames
500K Videos Rotating Through Cache/Day
400K Video Instantiations per Second:
OCCUPANCY NETWORK RECIPE
Pick 1.44B frames
Train for 100.000 GPU-hours at 90 C
Trained With Large Dataset Large Networks Need Large Clusters
Scalable FSD = AI + Data + Compute
Higher Utilization
Higher Safety
06 Charging
Rebecca Tinucci
How We Got Here
Industry's Lowest Deployment Costs
Pre-Built Superchargers Save Weeks of Install Time & Cost
40% Improvement in Per kWh Costs
Trip Planner Powers Efficient Routing
Wait Time Is Down & Site Utilization Is Up
2019
2020
2021
2022
aiting
omer W
t
% Of Cus
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
200
150
100
50
0
t
h per pos
Daily kW
30% Quicker Charge Times
Charging the Fully-Electrified Fleet
Ready To Serve All Vehicles
Maximize Convenient, Renewably-Powered Daytime Charging
Hour of Day
Scale Capacity
More Renewable Charging
What It Takes To Get There
Open Up to Non-Teslas
Can't Forget To Do Cool S***
07 Supply Chain
Karn Budhiraj, Roshan Thomas
Tesla Supply Chain
TIER 1 PARTS
TIER 2 PARTS
3.4K
2.1K
2.8K
7K
21K
19K
The Most Powerful In-Vehicle Computer
7K+
Components
1.4ms
Between Each Component Assembled Into a Car Computer
95%
Reduction in Labor
Inbound Complexity
16M
Pallets & Racks Received in 2022
1B
Electronic Components Shipped Each Week
685
Global Service Locations
45
Countries
Why are to the so many queuing get US?
Global in 'reaches shortage chips
dampened by chip Car sales COVID measures
Supply Chain Hell
INDUSTRY for Car Makers BUSINESS Set to Worsen Global Chip Shortage TRANSPORTATION
'Its Not Sustainable : What America's Port Crisis Looks Like Up Close
Why the Chip Shortage Is So Hard to Overcome
The Global Fight Over Chips Is About to Get Even Worse
chain is growth. to get global worse Supply chaos already And hitting its about
The supply chain crisis and US ports: 'Disruption on top of disruption'
No End In Sight For The Chain Disruption
Scaling Against the Odds
Semiconductor Industry Can Support Our Growth
Tesla with FSD Hardware Uses More Semiconductors Than an ICE Vehicle
Before Heat Pump
Next Generation Thermal Architecture
HEAT PUMP
WHERE WE STARTED
WHERE WE ARE NOW
Evolution of the Heat Pump Line
400
200
Manual
Automated
Doing More With Less
99%
Reduction in labor
99.995%
Of heat pumps received at Tesla are of high quality
7 sec
Between each heat pump rolling off a supplier line
Fewer Parts, Fewer Components
Deep Involvement With Suppliers
Do More With Less
08 Manufacturing
Tom Zhu, Drew Baglino
We Build Ultra High Volume Factories
4
Vehicle Factories
65K
Manufacturing Employees
~2M
Total Annual Build Capacity
Completed Gigafactory Shanghai in 9.5 Months
First Million
12 Years
Hitting New Milestones in 2023
FOR TOTAL VEHICLE PRODUCTION
4,000,000
Fourth Million 7 Months
What It Takes To Ramp a Gigafactory
90% OVERALL EQUIPMENT EFFECTIVENESS & 45 SECOND CYCLE TIME
Output
Labor Hours
Question
Strengthened Feedback Loop Between Manufacturing & Service
(Last 6 Months)
11%
Time in Service Reduction
16%
Early Service Reduction
9%
Service Appointment Wait Time Reduction
Remove the minus sign from in front of each number since it says reduction in the unit
Austin
Shanghai
Tesla Vehicle Footprint
& MORE TO COME ;)
Berlin
Fremont
There Is No Spoon Future Cell Factories, Too
THERE IS NO SPOON
There Is No Spoon Future Cell Factories, Too
THERE IS NO SPOON
Simplicity Up, Investment Down, Scale Up
And Upstream Materials Where Necessary
50 GWh/Year Corpus Christi Lithium Refinery
STARTS COMMISSIONING END OF 2023
1
2
Build Production Lines Faster
New Waves of Production Lines Incoming
Manufacturing is the Cornerstone of a Sustainable Future
Ramp Faster Through Learnings
09
Energy
Drew Baglino, Mike Snyder
Building Mission-Aligned Projects Globally for 10 Years
Growth Is Accelerating
65% CAGR SINCE 2016
How Did We Get Here
MANIACAL FOCUS ON ALL ASPECTS OF DELIVERING STATIONARY STORAGE VALUE
Not Just a Big Box of Batteries
14 Years of in-House Power Electronics Expertise
1.4+ TW DEPLOYED
Retiring Fossil Fueled Power Plants With Software
ARCHIVE NEWS
'Undeniable success : South Australia's 129MWh Tesla battery
By Andy Colthorpe
December 6,2018
Southcas: Grla Scole Market Watch Policy Technology
Linkedlo
0
Bloomberg
Secret Mega-Battery Into the Texas Grid
The utility-scale battery located outside of Houston will connect to the same grid that faltered February's freeze
March
2021
PST
From Hyperdrive
unrevealed construction of a gigantic battery connected t0 an ailing electric grid that nearly collapsed last month. The move marks Tesla
World Ist: Tesla Batteries Providing Inertia Services At Scale
Even
Tesla has a new product called 'Virtual Machine Mode' coming to its 'Big Battery'
Modo Energy
@ModoEnergy
10/ Congratulations to Contego ESS - 34MW/68MWh!
Contego utilised its 2-hour duration to capitalise on those high day-ahead spreads in addition to providing symmetric DC!
How Did We Get Here
RELENTLESS FOCUS ON SPEED OF EXECUTION
Build Megafactories Faster
FIRST MEGAFACTORY BUILT IN LESS THAN ONE YEAR
SEPTEMBER 2021 Construction Begins
6
Install Projects Faster
4X INSTALLATION & COMMISSIONING SPEED SINCE 2019
Tesla Electric Unlocks the Full Value of Distributed Energy & Storage
ENABLING OUR CUSTOMERS TO BECOME THEIR OWN UTILITY
$142/month
Default Utility Service
Cost of Providing Electricity to the Average Retail Customer
$69/month
Add Solar and Powerwall, without Grid Interaction
$130
Tesla Electric Value Creation
$61/month
Tesla Electric Real-Time Dispatch of Solar and Powerwall to Benefit the Grid
Tesla Electric Rollout Plan
Available Today
For homes with Powerwall in competitive retail electricity markets in Texas
Tesla Electric Rollout Plan
Coming in July to Texas
ing overnight
$3O/month
This Is Just the Beginning
Cumulative Tesla Storage Deployed
Impact at Tesla
01
Impact
Laurie Shelby, Brandon Ehrhart
Who We Are
The Team is Growing Rapidly
1/2 WORK IN MANUFACTURING
Total Applicants
US Engineering Students' Rankings
Engineers Want to Work Here
As Employee Engagement Increases, Safety Improves
2022
Sustainability & Impact is Everything We Do
Our Products Generate More Energy Than Our Products & Factories Consume
Tesla Cumulative Net Energy Impact: 2012-2021
Energy Produced
Tesla Solar Panels
Energy Consumed
Tesla Factories & Other Facilities
Energy Used at Tesla
Factories & Other Facilities
Energy Used to charge
all Tesla vehicles
25.39
25.27
(TWh)
Our Vehicles Emit Less Emissons Than Gas Vehicles
INCLUDING BOTH MANUFACTURING & USE
02 Financials
Zach Kirkhorn
We Continue To Reduce Cost of Our Existing Products
Model 3 Cost Per Car - Normalized
Cost Reductions Come From Everywhere
New Gen Vehicle Will Enable Step Change in Cost & Volume
Total Cost of Ownership per Mile Over 5 Years
Tight Operating Expense Control To Enable Operating Cash Flow
Excludes digital assets gain/loss, stock-based compensation, material one-time items 2021 figure excludes $340M payroll tax on CEO award option exercise
Industry Leading SG&A per Car Enabling Improved Affordability
Selling, General & Administrative Expenses per Vehicles
Traditional
Tesla
Benchmark: GAAP Operating Expenses, publicly traded OEM SG&A per vehicle + dealer SG&A per vehicle Publicly traded OEM SG&A includes average of GM, Ford, BMW, Toyota, Volkswagen, Mercedes Benz Dealer SG&A per car includes average of Autonation, Lithia, Group 1 Automotive, Sonic Automotive, Asbury Automotive
Efficiency Improvements
FINANCE CASE STUDY
Continued Improvement in Internal Process Efficiency
Efficiency Improvement
Performance & Capabilities
North American Sales 4x
4x
Order Operations
5x
Financial Services
Accounts Payable 6x
7x
Document Generation
Order Modification
Captive Lease / Loan Servicing
Captive Insurance
Real Time Data Visibility
10Q & 10K Timeline
We Expect our Pace of Investment to Scale With Operating Cash Flow Growth
1. Daily Operations
2. Growth
3. Opportunistic
4. Excess
Capital Allocation
Working Capital
Captive Financing (Market Gaps)
Downside Protection
Capital Expenditures (Elective)
Captive Financing (Elective)
Acquisitions
Debt Reduction
R&D Capital Expenditures (Growth)
Buyback / Dividend
Innovation Driven Cost & E /ffi ciency
Achieving the Master Plan
Improved A /ff ordability
Reinvest to Achieve Unprecedented Scale
Accelerate the World's Transition to Sustainable Energy
Gigafactory Mexico
MANUFACTURING NEXT GEN VEHICLE
Q&A
ENAEES